According to @EmberCN, analysis from 10x Research, headed by Markus Thielen, indicates that Coinbase (COIN) stock is rapidly approaching an overvaluation threshold. This is attributed to a significant disconnect between the stock's performance and its underlying fundamentals. Specifically, COIN shares have surged 84% in the last two months, while Bitcoin (BTC) has only risen by 14%, and crypto trading volumes remain subdued around $108 billion, as cited in the report. 10x Research's linear regression model suggests 75% of COIN's price is explained by BTC's price and trading volumes, highlighting the current overextension. Consequently, the firm recommends a pair trade for investors: shorting Coinbase shares while simultaneously taking a long position in Bitcoin to capitalize on a potential mean reversion or 'tactical reversal.' While factors like the GENIUS stablecoin bill have provided a tailwind, 10x Research believes this momentum is cooling and has already been priced into the stock, increasing the risk of a local top for COIN.

According to @QCompounding, analysis from 10x Research, led by Markus Thielen, indicates that Coinbase (COIN) shares are rapidly approaching an overvaluation threshold, creating a potential trading opportunity. The research highlights a fundamental disconnect, as COIN's 84% surge in the last two months has significantly outpaced Bitcoin's (BTC) 14% rise and underlying crypto trading volumes. Thielen suggests a pair trade of shorting COIN while going long BTC to capitalize on this dislocation, noting the stock's valuation appears extended and vulnerable to mean reversion. Separately, the report notes that MicroStrategy's (MSTR) perpetual preferred shares are rallying, potentially due to traders front-running the company's anticipated inclusion in the S&P 500 index. This speculation is fueled by Bitcoin's record monthly close, which, according to analyst Jeff Walton, boosts MSTR's earnings to a level that qualifies it for the U.S. equity benchmark.

According to @KobeissiLetter, strong investor demand at a recent 10-year U.S. Treasury auction is undermining the narrative that capital is fleeing government debt for safe havens like Bitcoin (BTC) and gold. Demand for the notes outstripped supply by over 2.5 times, as reported by Exante Data, despite a worsening U.S. debt situation with the national debt exceeding $36 trillion. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market has shown little reaction to renewed U.S. tariff threats. Coinbase analysts noted that markets have largely disregarded these potential economic risks, believing the tariffs are unlikely to be as inflationary as previously expected. While Bitcoin (BTC) saw a minor dip of around 0.7%, crypto-related stocks experienced more volatility, with Coinbase (COIN) falling 6% and Circle (CRCL) dropping 16%.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, analysis from 10x Research, led by Markus Thielen, suggests that Coinbase (COIN) stock is nearing an overvaluation threshold, prompting a recommendation for a pair trade involving shorting COIN and going long on Bitcoin (BTC). Thielen highlights a significant disconnect where COIN shares have surged 84% in two months, while BTC has only risen 14%, and overall crypto trading volumes remain stagnant. The research firm's model indicates that this premium is stretched and vulnerable to mean reversion. This analysis comes as Coinbase announces its acquisition of LiquiFi, a token management platform, a move intended to simplify on-chain development for crypto start-ups. 10x Research suggests the rally in COIN has already priced in factors like Circle's IPO and recent buying momentum, increasing the risk of a local top and making the short COIN/long BTC strategy a potentially winning trade.

According to @EmberCN, Shiba Inu (SHIB) whales purchased 10.4 trillion tokens, valued at over $110 million, marking the largest daily accumulation in five months after the price hit a 16-month low. This significant buying pressure contributed to a 17% price bounce from the low. From a technical perspective, SHIB's price is currently forming a descending triangle pattern on the hourly chart. A breakout above the descending trendline could signal a continuation of the recovery rally towards the $0.00001230 resistance level. Conversely, a breakdown below the triangle's support would indicate a bearish reversal. In related market news, Ark Invest continued its portfolio adjustments by selling 415,855 shares of Circle for $109.6 million while purchasing 4,198 shares of Coinbase (COIN) and 319,640 shares of Robinhood, signaling a strategic shift in its crypto-related equity holdings.

According to @QCompounding, analysis from 10x Research indicates that Coinbase (COIN) shares are rapidly approaching an overvaluation threshold, creating a potential trading opportunity. 10x Research notes a significant disconnect between COIN's 84% price surge over two months and its underlying fundamentals, as Bitcoin (BTC) only rose 14% and crypto trading volumes remain modest. Their linear regression model suggests COIN's valuation is extended and vulnerable to mean reversion. Consequently, 10x Research recommends a pair trade: going long on Bitcoin while shorting Coinbase stock. Separately, the report highlights that MicroStrategy's (MSTR) perpetual preferred shares are rallying, potentially in anticipation of the company's inclusion in the S&P 500 index. This speculation is fueled by Bitcoin's high price boosting MSTR's quarterly earnings, which could satisfy the final criteria for index inclusion. The preferred shares have delivered significant returns, such as STRK's 42% gain since February, outperforming both Bitcoin and the S&P 500, while also offering attractive yields starting from 6.6%.

According to @KookCapitalLLC, a compelling pair trade involves shorting Coinbase (COIN) shares while going long on Bitcoin (BTC), as the exchange's stock is approaching a significant overvaluation threshold. Citing analysis from Markus Thielen's 10x Research, the summary notes that COIN's 84% price rally over the past two months has decoupled from both Bitcoin's modest 14% gain and stagnant crypto trading volumes, creating a classic setup for a "tactical reversal." The research firm's model suggests COIN's valuation is extended and vulnerable to mean reversion. Meanwhile, the bull case for Bitcoin is strengthening due to favorable macro conditions, including a weakening U.S. dollar index, a strong 0.80 correlation with Nvidia (NVDA) which recently hit a record high, and mounting recession signals that are leading traders to price in Federal Reserve rate cuts.

According to @QCompounding, analysis from 10x Research suggests a tactical pair trade of shorting Coinbase (COIN) stock while simultaneously holding a long position in Bitcoin (BTC). The research firm, led by Markus Thielen, notes that COIN shares are rapidly approaching an overvaluation threshold, having rallied 84% in the last two months while Bitcoin only gained 14%, creating a significant fundamental disconnect. 10x Research's linear regression model indicates that COIN's stock is overextended relative to Bitcoin's price and crypto trading volumes, making it vulnerable to mean reversion. Thielen suggests that positive catalysts like Circle's potential IPO and recent investor enthusiasm appear to be fully priced in. Separately, the report highlights that MicroStrategy's (MSTR) perpetual preferred shares are rallying, potentially front-running the company's anticipated inclusion in the S&P 500 index following Bitcoin's record-high monthly close which boosted MSTR's earnings profile.

According to @jessepollak, the cryptocurrency market is undergoing significant technical and strategic shifts. Polygon (MATIC) is pivoting its strategy under new CEO and co-founder Sandeep Nailwal to focus on its AggLayer cross-chain liquidity protocol while retiring its zkEVM network, as stated in a press release. The Ethereum Foundation (ETH) has released a new treasury policy capping annual operational expenses at 15% and signaling a focus on critical deliverables through 2026. A proposal, EIP-7782, aims to potentially double Ethereum's speed by halving block times to 6 seconds, according to core developer Barnabé Monnot. The upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) Core 30 release is set to increase the OP_RETURN data limit to nearly 4MB, a move confirmed on GitHub that has sparked debate about potential network spam. RippleX has released version 2.5.0 for the XRP Ledger (XRP), introducing features like TokenEscrow and a PermissionedDEX to enhance DeFi and enterprise use cases. In related stock market news, a Bernstein research report raised its Coinbase (COIN) price target to $510, while Jeff Park of Bitwise Asset Management noted that MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock volatility has hit its lowest point since it began acquiring BTC. On the regulatory front, Norway plans to ban new proof-of-work mining data centers, according to Reuters, while Texas has established a publicly-funded Bitcoin reserve.

According to @QCompounding, analysis from 10x Research suggests that Coinbase (COIN) shares are rapidly approaching overvaluation, creating a potential pair trade opportunity. The research firm recommends a strategy of shorting COIN while simultaneously going long on Bitcoin (BTC), citing a significant disconnect between the stock's fundamentals and its recent price surge. Specifically, COIN shares have rallied 84% in the last two months, whereas Bitcoin has only increased by 14%, and this rally is not supported by underlying crypto trading volumes, which are hovering around $108 billion, as noted by 10x Research. This deviation indicates that COIN's valuation is extended and at risk of mean reversion. Separately, MicroStrategy (MSTR) and its perpetual preferred shares are experiencing a rally, which may be driven by market anticipation of the company's inclusion in the S&P 500 index. This eligibility follows Bitcoin's record-high monthly close, which, according to analyst Jeff Walton, boosts MSTR's earnings per share to a level that satisfies the final criteria for S&P 500 inclusion. The perpetual preferred shares, such as STRK, have delivered returns outperforming both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 since their launch, while also offering attractive yields that may be drawing investor interest.

According to @QCompounding, analysis from 10x Research suggests that Coinbase (COIN) shares are rapidly approaching an overvaluation threshold, prompting a recommended pair trade of shorting COIN while going long on Bitcoin (BTC). The research highlights a fundamental disconnect, noting that COIN's 84% price surge over the past two months has significantly outpaced both Bitcoin's 14% rise and underlying crypto trading volumes, which hover around $108 billion. A regression model cited by 10x Research indicates that 75% of COIN's stock price is explained by BTC's price and trading volumes, suggesting the current premium is stretched and vulnerable to mean reversion. Separately, MicroStrategy's (MSTR) perpetual preferred shares are experiencing a significant rally, which may be due to investors front-running the company's potential inclusion in the S&P 500 index. Bitcoin's record monthly close reportedly boosted MSTR's earnings to a level that qualifies it for the U.S. equity benchmark, with an official announcement anticipated in September.

According to @QCompounding, research firm 10x Research, led by Markus Thielen, recommends a pairs trade of shorting Coinbase (COIN) stock while going long on Bitcoin (BTC). The firm's analysis indicates COIN shares are approaching overvaluation, having surged 84% in two months compared to BTC's 14% rise, creating a significant disconnect from fundamentals like trading volume. Thielen noted that a linear regression model shows 75% of COIN's price is explained by BTC's price and trading volumes, suggesting the stock's current premium is stretched and vulnerable to mean reversion. The report also highlights that MicroStrategy's (MSTR) perpetual preferred shares are rallying, potentially as investors front-run the company's anticipated inclusion in the S&P 500 index. According to analyst Jeff Walton, Bitcoin's record monthly close boosts MSTR's earnings per share to a level that qualifies it for the benchmark. The advance in preferred shares like STRK, which has returned 42% since its February launch, is also attributed to their attractive high yields, which currently surpass the Federal Reserve's target rate.

According to @QCompounding, the Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization market has matured beyond its proof-of-concept phase, with over $20 billion in tokenized assets and significant institutional involvement from firms like BlackRock and VanEck. This trend is underscored by the dramatic performance of stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL), whose stock has surged 750% since its IPO, pushing its market capitalization to nearly $60 billion, close to that of Coinbase (COIN). The analysis highlights that this investor appetite is driven by the pivotal role of stablecoins like USDC as a global settlement layer and the emergence of tokenized T-bills as superior collateral. Key growth drivers for the RWA sector include improving blockchain infrastructure, increasing regulatory clarity such as the U.S. Senate's GENIUS Act, and expanding institutional adoption. However, some analysts, like Artemis CEO Jon Ma, warn that Circle's valuation may be overheated, trading at multiples like 32x its revenue and 285x its earnings, suggesting potential risk for traders.

According to @lookonchain, Ethereum (ETH) is outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) with a potential price target of $3,000, supported by bullish technical analysis and significant fundamental developments. A key driver is the integration of Distributed Validator Technology (DVT) by firms like Obol Labs, which enhances security and decentralization, making Ethereum more attractive for institutional investors, as evidenced by adoption from Blockdaemon and Lido. While ETH shows strength, Bitcoin is holding firm above key psychological levels, supported by continued corporate accumulation from entities like Strategy and The Blockchain Group, despite geopolitical tensions. However, the derivatives market signals caution, with perpetual funding rates barely positive and a bias for protective put options on BTC. In related news, 10x Research recommends a short Coinbase (COIN) and long BTC trade, citing the stock's potential overvaluation. For altcoins, Chainlink's (LINK) token has confirmed renewed bearish momentum after dropping below the Ichimoku cloud, with immediate support identified around $12.6.

According to @lookonchain, Ethereum (ETH) is outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), with prices approaching $2,500 and analysts seeing a potential path to $3,000. A key driver is the fundamental upgrade to its validator architecture with Distributed Validator Technology (DVT), which enhances security and decentralization to meet institutional standards, as stated by Anthony Bertolino of Obol Labs. This 'enterprise-grade' infrastructure is gaining traction with major players like Blockdaemon and Lido, the largest staking protocol, preparing to integrate DVT. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding its ground, supported by continued institutional accumulation and corporate buying amidst geopolitical tensions, according to analysis from QCP Capital. Meanwhile, 10x Research has issued a bearish outlook on Coinbase (COIN) stock, recommending a short COIN/long BTC trade due to significant overvaluation. The research firm notes that COIN's 84% surge is not justified by its trading volume fundamentals. On the technical front, Chainlink (LINK) has confirmed a bearish trend by dropping below the Ichimoku cloud, with immediate support identified near $12.6.

According to @lookonchain, shares of stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) have surged approximately 750% since its IPO, reaching a record high near $299 on Monday. At its peak, Circle's market capitalization hit about $60 billion, placing it nearly on par with the $61.3 billion supply of its USDC stablecoin and approaching the $78 billion market cap of crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN). The rally is partly fueled by the U.S. Senate's passage of the GENIUS Act, which advances stablecoin regulation. However, some analysts, like Artemis CEO Jon Ma, warn that the rally may be ahead of fundamentals, pointing to extremely high valuation multiples including 32x revenue, 80x gross profit, and 285x earnings, suggesting limited upside potential from the current model.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, U.S.-listed Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies experienced one of their most profitable quarters on record in Q1 2025, as reported by JPMorgan. The miners collectively generated approximately $2.0 billion in gross profit with 53% margins, an increase from the previous quarter's $1.7 billion and 50% margins. The report highlights that IREN (IREN) achieved the highest gross profit and the lowest all-in cash cost per coin at about $36,400, while Marathon Digital (MARA) had the highest cost at around $72,600. JPMorgan maintains an overweight rating on CleanSpark (CLSK), IREN, and Riot Platforms (RIOT). In parallel, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest is continuing its strategy of taking profits and reallocating capital. The firm sold 415,855 Circle shares, valued at $109.6 million, following the stablecoin operator's significant post-IPO price surge. Simultaneously, Ark Invest demonstrated confidence in crypto-related platforms by purchasing 4,198 shares of Coinbase (COIN) for $1.3 million and 319,640 shares of Robinhood (HOOD) for $24.4 million, signaling a bullish outlook on crypto brokerage and exchange services.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, several key technical and market developments are creating trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency space. A significant proposal for Ethereum (ETH), EIP-7782, aims to cut the network's slot time in half to six seconds, potentially doubling block production and accelerating transaction finality. In another protocol development, RippleX has released version 2.5.0 for the XRP Ledger, introducing amendments like "TokenEscrow" and "PermissionedDEX" to enhance decentralized exchange (DEX) functionality and regulatory compliance, which could attract more institutional usage for XRP. On the public markets front, the successful IPO of Circle (USDC), which raised $1.05 billion, is signaling strong investor appetite for regulated crypto firms, a sentiment echoed by Bernstein raising its Coinbase (COIN) price target to $510. Further analysis from Aaron Brogan of Brogan Law suggests Circle's success may be tied to the premium investors pay for crypto exposure via stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and anticipated regulatory clarity for stablecoins. Traders are also watching ZKsync's new "Airbender" prover, which claims to reduce L2 transaction costs, and Norway's plan to ban new Bitcoin (BTC) mining, which could shift global hashrate distribution.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Ethereum (ETH) is outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $2,500 and targeting a potential move to $3,000. This outperformance is reportedly fueled by bullish catalysts such as the GENIUS Act providing regulatory clarity for stablecoins and significant inflows into ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs). A fundamental driver is the implementation of Distributed Validator Technology (DVT), which Obol Labs' Anthony Bertolino states is making Ethereum staking more secure and resilient, meeting institutional requirements. In the public markets, Aaron Brogan of Brogan Law highlights the remarkable success of recent crypto IPOs, especially Circle (USDC), attributing it to a market premium for crypto-exposed stocks and favorable macro conditions like high Treasury yields. Conversely, 10x Research recommends a short COIN and long BTC trade, arguing that Coinbase's stock is approaching overvaluation as its 84% surge has far outpaced Bitcoin's 14% gain. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading above $108,000 and analyst Michaël van de Poppe notes it must break $109,000 resistance to continue its rally.

According to @AltcoinGordon, key trading signals emerge as Ethereum (ETH) developers propose EIP-7782 to potentially double network speed by cutting block times to six seconds. Matter Labs' new 'Airbender' prover for ZKsync promises to reduce transaction fees by proving Ethereum blocks in just 35 seconds, as cited in the report. On the market front, James Van Straten notes that Bitcoin (BTC) is holding steady around $105,000, supported by a growing corporate treasury narrative, with 27 new entities adding BTC in the last 30 days. Derivatives data from Velo shows dense leverage between $103K and $106K for BTC, suggesting a high risk of sharp price moves upon a range break. In crypto-related equities, investment firm Bernstein raised its price target for Coinbase (COIN) to $510, while MicroStrategy (MSTR) experiences its lowest volatility since 2020, according to Bitwise. Technically, Ether (ETH) is testing its 200-day EMA, with a reclaim of the monthly open needed to signal bullish momentum.